Author Archives
Tired of the superfluous investment news and black box strategies, we set out to find the best strategy for diversified index funds. After researching investment news letters and strategies, we found what we think is hands down the best strategy since it is simple to execute, avoids most bear market losses, and significantly beats a buy and hold investor over the full market cycle. Our goal is to help investors avoid expensive fees and commissions and unrecoverable investment mistakes. We enjoy sharing our research and if you read us you will learn why our motto is simply "Invest Smart".
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TSP Quicklook: November 2022
In the quarter just ended the SP500 Earnings Per Share was down over 5% after taking out the energy sector’s record profits.
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Part III: The Unfolding
In particular, I fear concurrent crises of confidence in policymaking and market structure. De-risking/deleveraging will feed illiquidity and market dislocation. Global derivatives markets will be severely tested.
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TSP Smart Rant: What Top vs Bottom Means
The billionaires own the media on the Left and Right. Don’t expect to read much about their real agenda in the news until it is too late.
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TSP Chart: Quicklook 1 August 2022
July’s positive seasonal tendency is behind us. August’s negative seasonal tendency is upon us.
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TSP Charts: Quicklook 4 July
F B does not like my analysis? I’m reposting this because F B algos had issues with the images but would not say what and there is no one to talk to. I deleted one image.
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TSP Smart: Quicklook 13 April 2022
The SP500 moved from the bottom of the price channel to the top within the day on 13 April. The price channel is declining so today’s move up means little so far.
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TSP Smart: They Said It Out Loud
At first I was half joking, then I decided it was the only way, but I never expected the Fed would come to the same conclusion.
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TSP Smart: Market Risk Updated
Our latest Market Risk E-mail is posted under our Market Commentary section for all subscribers today. Also, I’ve provide a short summary on our projections for different investments under our Current Allocations page.
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TSPsmart: SP500 Quicklook 17 March
The SP500 holds 80% by value of the total US stock market. It holds 45% of the developed world’s stock value. It is the leading index to watch and analyze for understanding the larger moves of the global stock market.
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TSP Smart: Wars and Markets
If interest rates today matched inflation the 10-year would already be 8% which in turn would collapse valuations back to 10x earnings… so the stock market would be 65% lower today relative to earnings.