Author Archives
Tired of the superfluous investment news and black box strategies, we set out to find the best strategy for diversified index funds. After researching investment news letters and strategies, we found what we think is hands down the best strategy since it is simple to execute, avoids most bear market losses, and significantly beats a buy and hold investor over the full market cycle. Our goal is to help investors avoid expensive fees and commissions and unrecoverable investment mistakes. We enjoy sharing our research and if you read us you will learn why our motto is simply "Invest Smart".
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TSP Smart: Quicklook 13 April 2022
The SP500 moved from the bottom of the price channel to the top within the day on 13 April. The price channel is declining so today’s move up means little so far.
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TSP Smart: They Said It Out Loud
At first I was half joking, then I decided it was the only way, but I never expected the Fed would come to the same conclusion.
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TSP Smart: Market Risk Updated
Our latest Market Risk E-mail is posted under our Market Commentary section for all subscribers today. Also, I’ve provide a short summary on our projections for different investments under our Current Allocations page.
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TSPsmart: SP500 Quicklook 17 March
The SP500 holds 80% by value of the total US stock market. It holds 45% of the developed world’s stock value. It is the leading index to watch and analyze for understanding the larger moves of the global stock market.
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TSP Smart: Wars and Markets
If interest rates today matched inflation the 10-year would already be 8% which in turn would collapse valuations back to 10x earnings… so the stock market would be 65% lower today relative to earnings.
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TSP Smart: I don’t think WWIII will be good for the Markets
We are already, she said, in the middle of a third World War, whether we’ve fully grasped it or not.
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TSP Quicklook: 18 February 2022
The SP500 needs to hold 4300. There is little support below this level.
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TSP Smart: Sell the Rallies
Sell and Hold
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TSP Quicklook: Ugly
Market internals moved from bad to ugly this week. There was little bounce after Options Week ended. Then the Federal Reserve basically confirmed that they are not there to prop up the stock market for now.
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TSP Smart: Quicklook 20 January 2022
Do not try to catch falling knives.