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Tired of the superfluous investment news and black box strategies, we set out to find the best strategy for diversified index funds. After researching investment news letters and strategies, we found what we think is hands down the best strategy since it is simple to execute, avoids most bear market losses, and significantly beats a buy and hold investor over the full market cycle. Our goal is to help investors avoid expensive fees and commissions and unrecoverable investment mistakes. We enjoy sharing our research and if you read us you will learn why our motto is simply "Invest Smart".

  • TSP Charts: Do You Feel Lucky?

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    The market is sitting in a precarious position as the trade deal with China falters.

  • TSP funds & Reaching the Neverland

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    Who needs an economy when you can print-baby-print or leverage up the whole stock market via buybacks on the open market or with leveraged mergers and acquisitions that come with golden parachutes for the CEOs.

  • TSP in the new economy

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    The bottom line is consumer spending which makes up the bulk of the GDP model was down and business investment was down. And large inventory building is never a good sign and points to weaker growth in the out quarters.

  • TSP Charts: A walk around the markets

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    I am reading a lot about the divergence in small caps from the large cap funds. It is worth watching, but it might just be seasonal tendencies.

  • TSP Charts: Quick look

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    After creating $17 trillion dollars and pumping most of it into the financial markets, the central banks collectively tried to pull back in early 2018. It did not work out so well as evidence in the chart below. So the… Read More ›

  • TSP & Faux Capitalism

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    You had better start trying to understand what is going on because you are about to live with the fallout in one way or another. It will not only affect your TSP investments, it will affect the future of our country. It is hard to get people to listen at the top especially when the naysayers have been “wrong” for so long and reality is so illusive.

  • TSP: the Bitcoin effect

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    No one will notice.  No one will consider this effect on the markets at large. It does not fit their models. So this month the exchanges are starting to wind down Futures trading of Bitcoin due to lack of trading… Read More ›

  • TSP: I’m Sure It’s Nothing

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    Think of these charts as cliff notes from around the web on the markets, economy and monetary policy. This is merely a fun exercise in what we find every month on the web during our meta research. I add other… Read More ›

  • Doug Noland: Doing Harm with Uber-Dovish

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    T his week’s FOMC meeting will be debated for years – perhaps even decades. The Fed essentially pre-committed to no rate hike in 2019. The committee downgraded both its growth and inflation forecasts. Having all at once turned of little… Read More ›

  • Doug Noland’s Uncharted Territory

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    The world is in completely uncharted territory. What unfolded was a complete breakdown in discipline – in central banking, in Washington borrowing and spending, and throughout highly speculative markets. And I do believe the new Fed Chairman had hopes of normalizing Fed policymaking, letting the markets begin stand on their own, and commencing the long-delayed process of system normalization. Pressure – markets and otherwise – became too much to bear. Fed U-Turn, January 4, 2019 – immediately transmitted globally.