Author Archives
Tired of the superfluous investment news and black box strategies, we set out to find the best strategy for diversified index funds. After researching investment news letters and strategies, we found what we think is hands down the best strategy since it is simple to execute, avoids most bear market losses, and significantly beats a buy and hold investor over the full market cycle. Our goal is to help investors avoid expensive fees and commissions and unrecoverable investment mistakes. We enjoy sharing our research and if you read us you will learn why our motto is simply "Invest Smart".
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TSP Charts: “Unthinkable Harm” (Updated)
Inquiring minds are asking why the Fed is considering an interest rate cut when the SP500 is sitting at an all-time high, unemployment is near an historical low, wage growth is solid and of course we keep hearing we are in “the greatest economy ever”.
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TSP Charts: If the markets could talk…
Small caps have not bought into this last rally. Nor have some other financial sectors. At least the trade war is progressing nicely…
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Doug Noland: Rejoicing Central Banker Capitulation
A crisis-period experiment in QE came with profound repercussions. The Fed’s 2011 “exit strategy” was supplanted the following year by Draghi’s “whatever it takes” – and there’s been no turning back. The prospect of Whatever and Whenever It Takes QE as essential to the global central banker toolkit has Changed Everything.
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TSP Funds: Time to Get Defensive
It is hard to get people to listen when the SP500 is near an all-time high and the US economy appears strong, so I wrote “Why I Am Defensive and You Should Be Too”. Take a look please.
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Rant: Privacy & Email
For 15 months I have been hitting the “I’ll Do This Later” button on Yahoo’s Privacy Policy every time I open my Yahoo email accounts.
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TSP Charts: Crazy Time
So tell us Fed Chairman, with the financial markets on the verge of full melt-up based on the Fed’s money printing past and not the real economy, what are you going to do?
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Doug Noland: The Market’s Bet
Commentary from Doug Noland’s Q1 2019 Z.1 “Flow of Funds” The market now prices in a 21% probability of a rate cut at next week’s FOMC meeting, with an 86% probability for a cut by the July 31st meeting. I… Read More ›
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Doug Noland: Hoard of Jumbo Bazookas
The Fed has not only abandoned “normalization,” it has deserted its primary responsibility for safeguarding financial stability.
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TSP charts: 7 June
If bad economic news sending the stock market soaring does NOT make sense to you, then you are trying to think rationally. It makes perfect sense when you consider how distorted our monetary and fiscal policies are.
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TSP F fund in 2019
I’ve received some good questions about the TSP F fund from members. I decided to provide a current overview of the fund and what to expect.