Expectations have changed, but expectations are not always met. Even if expectations are met, some have rapid feedback loops and some have slow feedback loops. The economic sphere is mostly slow, but sentiment does impact near term business decisions. The… Read More ›
The question of the week is whether the SP500’s spike to a new all-time high is a true breakout or a false breakout. It may not be long before we find out, but as someone whose core investment strategy is… Read More ›
The long view is simply about gaining some perspective as the market whip back and forth in a very extended market topping process. It is about understanding that the markets for all their ups and down have really gone… Read More ›
With global risk markets staging a significant rally, it’s an appropriate time to update my bursting global Bubble thesis. Three weeks ago I titled a CBB “Crisis Management.” My view was that mounting global market instability had reached the point… Read More ›
I talk about market risk quite a bit and try to emphasize market risk is not static. This idea is not supported by mainstream thinking or financial marketing. “Financial Advisors” ask you how much risk you are willing to accept… Read More ›
The “In Case You Missed It” series will include some of the more interesting articles and posts related to the financial environment that affects our investments. First a little background. The Smart Bird contends that the financial markets have been… Read More ›
January 15 – Bloomberg (Matthew Boesler): “The U.S. economy should continue to grow faster than its potential this year, supporting further interest-rate increases by the Federal Reserve, New York Fed President William C. Dudley said. ‘In terms of the economic… Read More ›
Did your financial advisor warn you? “…my risk aversion indicators are indicating a potential market crash anytime in the next few weeks… selling pressure may occur before the end of the year similar to 2007 and 2014..” – TSP… Read More ›
Update: It is not looking good for my overall end of 2017 prediction. So far Barron’s average strategist have been correct and they will remain correct until this market resets. While I did not think it likely, two things happened… Read More ›
And the winner was… the G fund! The lowly no-risk G fund, of course. Now let me add some useless trivia for perspective. The SP500 index gained and lost 181% during the 252 trading days in 2015 using the end-of-day price… Read More ›