Thank you for staying with the ship while it is taking on water and the storm is approaching. Sure it is still floating after the last storm, but it has taken on a lot of water since then. Not everyone can get in the life rafts. Thank you for waiting.
No sorry, I’m not posting a TSP chart this time. I know, if you stare at the TSP charts your TSP fund price goes up faster. And if they went up last year that means they will go up forever. … Read More ›
I’ve updated my Best TSP Allocation for the new year. The discussion on the best TSP funds has not changed significantly this year other than discussing the new TSP I fund index. What has changed is our view of where… Read More ›
So far the SP500 matches the typical large correction footprint. Plunge 10% or more, bounce back 40-70%, then roll over for a retest of the correction lows. Sometimes the second low is higher, sometimes slightly lower – it does not… Read More ›
October is known for market corrections and this Fall did not disappoint with a 10% correction in the SP500 (TSP C fund) and a 15% correction in the non-sp500 small caps (TSP S fund). The correction started elevated above our… Read More ›
So the election is old news and the market will start pricing in 2019 trends and expectations soon. The real effects of those expectations will not set in until after Christmas because of the end-of-the-year Santa Rally usually starts just… Read More ›
Way, way back in August (ancient history for stock speculators) I wrote a blog post called Don’t Get Amazoned. I was metaphorically speaking about the US stock market and what I see coming. But guess what, the market and TSP equity… Read More ›
The larger corrections usually send plenty of signals if you know where the look and have the time to watch. This was definitely one of those times. If you reread my 5 October blog post, you will find the… Read More ›
So far we have only seen a minor 6% correction in the SP500 (TSP C fund). Often the smaller corrections bounce back in a “V” bottom and end back close to their old highs. The larger 10%+ corrections usually have… Read More ›
Well, it is about time. I was beginning to wonder when the market would wake up to the downward shift in what has been driving the markets higher since 2009. If you have been following me awhile you know it… Read More ›