Doug Noland

TSP Smart: Something Big is Going to Happen

Understand today the inside money is selling high today into the Fed’s fire hose and new companies will make their money in the financial markets and probably never in the real economy. The retail money is pouring into the markets laughing at the old timers who have lost their touch. Now I agree there is a chance the central banks continue the madness, but something is going to break sooner or later – something big.

Doug Noland: More W than V

Global markets remain haunted by the specter of an unwind of unprecedented speculative leverage. When markets break to the downside, there is clear potential for another episode of derivative-related selling that would panic buyers.

Doug Noland: The Fed is Trapped

The Chairman’s rambling (non-answer) reply could be summarized in four words: “The Fed is trapped.” It’s trapped by Bubble Dynamics – a historic Bubble that either inflates or collapses. What the Fed labels as “markets functioning” is at this point a “functioning” speculative Bubble.

TSP Smart: Debt Gone Wild

Daydream, fantasize or hallucinate – if you choose. But this is a fiasco – and rather tangible, at that. It started years – even decades – ago. The craziness turned extreme last year, with the Fed aggressively stimulating in the face of highly speculative markets. It was never going to end well.

Doug Noland: The Scourge of “Whatever it Takes” Monetary Mismanagement

The global Bubble has been pierced, though unprecedented monetary inflation only exacerbates the epic divergence between inflating asset prices and deflating economic prospects. As I’ve written over the years – and as demonstrated rather conspicuously in March: contemporary finance seems to operate miraculously – so long as it’s inflating. It just doesn’t work in reverse. These days it’s even more frightening to contemplate how this all ends. The Scourge of “Whatever it Takes” Monetary Mismanagement.

Doug Noland: Going Nuclear

Instead of pinning the blame on monetary policy the last 30 years, they will triple down on the same monetary and fiscal policy that got us here… the top down approach (financial elite and corporations) that does not make it to those who truly need help – the American people – to keep the economy flowing.