Author Archives

  • Doug Noland: China Watch

    First time all four developed countries have been negative year-over-year since last two global recessions.

  • Doug Noland: What the Heck is Happening in the Cayman Islands?

    It was no coincidence that U.S. “repo” market tumult followed on the heels of an abrupt reversal in global bond yields. I appreciate how the enormous global buildup in leveraged speculation works miraculously so long as bond yields are declining (bond prices rising). If only bond yields could fall forever – even as debt and deficits expand uncontrollably. It’s not clear to me how the global system doesn’t turn increasingly unstable, which I believe explains why the ECB and now the Fed have resorted again to QE.

  • Doug Noland: Resurrecting M2

    This was the second strongest (22-week) monetary expansion in U.S. history, trailing only 2011’s “QE2” period…